Al-Biruni Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences

Article published about Al-Biruni Journal in the Jordanian newspaper Al-Sawsana.

24-02-2026

Al-Sawsana Newspaper has published an in-depth news report highlighting the recent scholarly contribution of Al-Biruni Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences titled: “Escalation Dynamics and Nuclear Threshold Politics: A Quantitative-Analytical Assessment of the Iranian–American Conflict (2024–2026)”, authored by Moritz J. Richard, PhD Student, Department of Political Science, Loyola University Chicago, United States. The media coverage emphasized the academic and strategic importance of the study, which addresses one of the most sensitive and evolving issues in contemporary international politics: the trajectory of Iranian–American relations amid the transformation toward an increasingly multipolar global order. The newspaper underscored that the research represents an advanced quantitative approach to conflict analysis, introducing a probabilistic model designed to measure escalation risks over the 2024–2026 period. According to the report, the study stands out for integrating structural realism, nuclear deterrence theory, and cognitive escalation models within a unified analytical framework. Drawing upon data from leading international institutions, the research evaluates three core variables—economic pressure, military deterrent posture, and diplomatic engagement—to assess potential conflict scenarios. The findings indicate that the most probable outcome (55–60%) is the continuation of a low-intensity strategic rivalry resembling a “renewed regional cold war,” characterized by indirect tools such as sanctions, diplomatic signaling, and calibrated deterrence. While limited military escalation carries a moderate probability (30–35%), large-scale or nuclear confrontation remains comparatively low (5–10%), though not entirely excluded. The newspaper concluded that the publication of such forward-looking, data-driven research reflects Al-Biruni Journal’s commitment to addressing pressing global issues and attracting international scholarship, thereby reinforcing its growing academic visibility and contribution to contemporary debates on nuclear threshold politics and strategic stability.

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